Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City preview and prediction
The match
The Stars League sees Al Ahli Doha take on Lusail City on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium. Al Ahli Doha are 7th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Lusail City sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Ahli Doha's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Al Sadd 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Lusail City's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Al-Rayyan SC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Al Ahli Doha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Al Ahli Doha and 0.8 for Lusail City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli Doha 69%, draw 19%, Lusail City 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Ahli Doha to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.52, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Ahli Doha 2–0 Lusail City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli Doha69%fair 1.45 · @1.52
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.30
Lusail City12%fair 8.46 · @5.10
2.94Expected goals
2.16Al Ahli Doha xG
0.78Lusail City xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 2.2 – 0.8 Lusail City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli Doha to win✗
69%
1.45
1.52
Double chance
Al Ahli Doha or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Half-time result
Al Ahli Doha ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli Doha / FT Al Ahli Doha✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.08
–
Form
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
LDLWLW
22 Aug
@ Al Sadd
1–3
L
3 Aug
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–3
D
30 Jul
@ Al Shabab
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ UMM Salal
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
1–5
L
8 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lusail City – last 5
LLLLD
20 Aug
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Dordrecht
0–5
L
30 Apr
vs Al Bidda SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and Lusail City.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
Our pick is Al Ahli Doha to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lusail City 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 2–0 Lusail City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City?
Al Ahli Doha vs Lusail City (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
