Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City preview and prediction
The match
The Stars League sees Al-Rayyan SC take on Lusail City on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium. Al-Rayyan SC are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Lusail City sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al-Rayyan SC's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Leganes 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lusail City's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Den Bosch 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al-Rayyan SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for Al-Rayyan SC and 1.0 for Lusail City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Rayyan SC 70%, draw 22%, Lusail City 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Al-Rayyan SC 2–1 Lusail City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Rayyan SC70%fair 1.44 · @1.27
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @5.30
Lusail City8%fair 11.99 · @8.70
3.56Expected goals
2.60Al-Rayyan SC xG
0.95Lusail City xG
59%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Al-Rayyan SC 2.6 – 1.0 Lusail City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Rayyan SC to win✓
70%
1.44
1.27
Double chance
Al-Rayyan SC or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Half-time result
Al-Rayyan SC ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Rayyan SC / FT Al-Rayyan SC✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Al-Rayyan SC – last 6
LDLWWW
4 Aug
@ Leganes
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Rochdale
3–3
D
1 May
vs Al Wakrah
0–3
L
27 Apr
vs Al-Arabi SC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Al Shabab
3–0
W
15 Apr
vs Muaither SC
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lusail City – last 4
LLLD
24 Jul
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Dordrecht
0–5
L
30 Apr
vs Al Bidda SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Al Kharaitiyat
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Rayyan SC and Lusail City.
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City?
On our numbers Al-Rayyan SC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lusail City 8%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City?
Our predicted score is Al-Rayyan SC 2–1 Lusail City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City?
Al-Rayyan SC vs Lusail City (Stars League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
