Liga 3 · Portugal

Vianense

DLWDW
0–0
FT

Leça

WLWWW

Vianense vs Leça prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLeça to win ✗44% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Win chances

Vianense36%fair 2.81 · @2.56
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.32
Leça44%fair 2.29 · @2.32
2.79Expected goals
1.31Vianense xG
1.49Leça xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Vianense 1.3 – 1.5 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Leça shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 36% for Vianense.

Vianense have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Leça have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. Leça come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Vianense, 1.5 for Leça). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Vianense have won 0, Leça have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeça to win ✗44%2.292.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.32
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leça / FT Leça ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.98–

Form

Vianense – last 6

DLWDWW
1 Nov@ Guimaraes B2–2D
25 Octvs São João Ver1–3L
17 Octvs Leixoes1–0W
10 Octvs Paredes3–3D
20 Sep@ Estrela Calheta3–1W
12 Sep@ Varzim2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Leça – last 6

WLWWWW
31 Octvs Varzim2–0W
23 Oct@ Pacos Ferreira0–1L
17 Oct@ Penafiel1–0W
10 Octvs AD Marco 092–0W
20 Sep@ Mortágua2–0W
12 Sep@ Trofense4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Vianense v Leça3–4

More Liga 3 predictions

FT Caldas0 Oliveirense1 392437 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.26 ✗ FT São João Ver0 Guimaraes B2 352440 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓ FT AD Marco 091 Paredes3 152560 2Paredes to win 60%@1.79 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vianense vs Leça?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Vianense vs Leça?

On our numbers Vianense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leça 44%.

How many goals will there be in Vianense vs Leça?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Vianense vs Leça?

Vianense vs Leça (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.