Liga 3 · Portugal · Campo da Mata
Caldas
Oliveirense
Caldas vs Oliveirense prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.26 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Caldas 1.3 – 1.3 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Caldas and Oliveirense on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Caldas have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Oliveirense have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. Caldas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Caldas, 1.3 for Oliveirense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Caldas to win ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | 2.74 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.76 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Caldas / FT Caldas ✗ | 22% | 4.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.47 | – |
Form
Caldas – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ SC Covilha | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Mafra | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Atlético CP | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Vitória de Sernache | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ União Santarém | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Sintrense | 1–3 | L |
Oliveirense – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs CF Os Belenenses | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Lusitano Évora 1911 | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ SC Covilha | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Penafiel | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Mafra | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Atlético CP | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and Oliveirense.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Caldas vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Caldas vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers Caldas have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oliveirense 37%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Caldas vs Oliveirense?
Caldas vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.