Liga 3 · Portugal

AD Marco 09

WDLLW
1–3
FT

Paredes

WWWDW

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Paredes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.79 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.79Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultParedes to win ✓60% · @1.79
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.45

Win chances

AD Marco 0915%fair 6.68 · @4.15
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Paredes60%fair 1.65 · @1.79
2.38Expected goals
0.70AD Marco 09 xG
1.68Paredes xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%

From our goals model: AD Marco 09 0.7 – 1.7 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Paredes travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 15% for AD Marco 09.

AD Marco 09 have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Paredes have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Paredes come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (0.7 for AD Marco 09, 1.7 for Paredes). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, AD Marco 09 have won 0, Paredes have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Paredes to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.79 is better than our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParedes to win ✓60%1.651.79 ▲
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓85%1.181.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paredes / FT Paredes ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.45–

Form

AD Marco 09 – last 6

WDLLWW
31 Oct@ Trofense2–0W
25 Octvs Fafe0–0D
17 Oct@ Farense0–3L
10 Oct@ Leça0–2L
20 Sepvs Maia Lidador1–0W
12 Sepvs Guimaraes B1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Paredes – last 6

WWWDWW
1 Novvs São João Ver2–1W
24 Octvs Trofense4–0W
18 Octvs Famalicao1–0W
10 Oct@ Vianense3–3D
20 Sepvs Maria da Fonte5–1W
13 Sepvs Fafe2–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026AD Marco 09 v Paredes0–2

More Liga 3 predictions

FT Caldas0 Oliveirense1 392437 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.26 ✗ FT São João Ver0 Guimaraes B2 352440 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓ FT Vianense0 Leça0 362144 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Our pick is Paredes to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.79.

Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paredes 60%.

How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.