Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceLusitano Évora 1911 or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache preview and prediction
The match
Lusitano Évora 1911 host Vitória de Sernache in the Liga 3 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Lusitano Évora 1911 are 10th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Vitória de Sernache sit 8th on 7 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lusitano Évora 1911's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Oliveirense 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Vitória de Sernache's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to União Santarém 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vitória de Sernache arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Lusitano Évora 1911 and 0.7 for Vitória de Sernache. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lusitano Évora 1911 to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 Vitória de Sernache. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitano Évora 191163%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.20
Vitória de Sernache15%fair 6.53 · @4.33
2.57Expected goals
1.82Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
0.75Vitória de Sernache xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lusitano Évora 1911 1.8 – 0.7 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
63%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Lusitano Évora 1911 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
DLDLLW
24 Oct
vs Oliveirense
2–2
D
9 Oct
@ União Santarém
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs SC Covilha
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
LWWWLL
25 Oct
@ União Santarém
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Brito
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Louletano
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Varzim
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Caldas
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitano Évora 1911 and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Lusitano Évora 1911 to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Lusitano Évora 1911 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitória de Sernache 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache?
Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
