União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911 prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLusitano Évora 1911 to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59
União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911 preview and prediction
The match
Lusitano Évora 1911 travel to Campo Cha das Padeiras in the Liga 3 on Friday 9 October (21:00 WAT) to face União Santarém. União Santarém are 4th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 10th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
União Santarém's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Merelinense 5–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lusitano Évora 1911's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with SC Covilha 2–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for União Santarém and 1.2 for Lusitano Évora 1911. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: União Santarém 1–1 Lusitano Évora 1911. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Santarém33%fair 3.04 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Lusitano Évora 191145%fair 2.23 · @2.20
2.24Expected goals
1.00União Santarém xG
1.24Lusitano Évora 1911 xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: União Santarém 1.0 – 1.2 Lusitano Évora 1911 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win✗
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitano Évora 1911 / FT Lusitano Évora 1911✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
União Santarém – last 6
WWLLDL
20 Sep
vs Merelinense
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Louletano
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Caldas
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–5
L
14 Aug
vs Oliveirense
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ SC Covilha
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lusitano Évora 1911 – last 6
DLLWDL
12 Sep
vs SC Covilha
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Louletano
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs CF Os Belenenses
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Mafra
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Caldas
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Atlético CP
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Lusitano Évora 1911.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lusitano Évora 1911 45%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–1 Lusitano Évora 1911, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911?
União Santarém vs Lusitano Évora 1911 (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
