União Santarém vs Oliveirense prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 58% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓58% · @3.00
Double chanceUnião Santarém or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
União Santarém vs Oliveirense preview and prediction
The match
União Santarém host Oliveirense in the Liga 3 on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Campo Cha das Padeiras. União Santarém are 4th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Oliveirense sit 3rd on 13 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
União Santarém's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to SC Covilha 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Oliveirense's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Louletano 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for União Santarém and 0.8 for Oliveirense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Safer route: União Santarém or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 58% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: União Santarém 0–0 Oliveirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Santarém23%fair 4.38 · @2.38
Draw58%fair 1.72 · @3.00
Oliveirense19%fair 5.27 · @2.90
1.69Expected goals
0.88União Santarém xG
0.81Oliveirense xG
52%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: União Santarém 0.9 – 0.8 Oliveirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
58%
1.72
3.00 ▲
Double chance
União Santarém or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
18%
5.41
–
Form
União Santarém – last 6
LDLDDD
8 Aug
@ SC Covilha
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Academica
0–0
D
10 May
@ Amarante
0–1
L
2 May
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Academica
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Guimaraes B
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Oliveirense – last 6
DLDLWL
8 Aug
vs Louletano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–5
L
2 May
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Chaves
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Benfica B
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Portimonense
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and Oliveirense.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs Oliveirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win União Santarém vs Oliveirense?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Oliveirense 19%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs Oliveirense?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Oliveirense?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 0–0 Oliveirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs Oliveirense?
União Santarém vs Oliveirense (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
