Value bet: Paredes to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultParedes to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Paredes vs Guimaraes B preview and prediction
The match
Guimaraes B travel to Municipal das Laranjeiras in the Liga 3 on Friday 7 August (20:00 WAT) to face Paredes. Paredes are 1st with 22 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Guimaraes B sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Paredes's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Lusitânia Lourosa 4–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Guimaraes B's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Chaves 3–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Paredes and 0.7 for Guimaraes B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paredes 63%, draw 25%, Guimaraes B 13%.
Safer route: Paredes or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Paredes to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Paredes 1–0 Guimaraes B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paredes63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Guimaraes B13%fair 7.97 · @3.90
2.42Expected goals
1.75Paredes xG
0.66Guimaraes B xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Paredes 1.8 – 0.7 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✓
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Paredes or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Paredes ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
Paredes – last 6
WWLLLD
1 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
4–2
W
22 Jul
@ AVS
4–2
W
18 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Fafe
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ São João Ver
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Fafe
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 6
WLDWLL
25 Jul
@ Chaves
3–2
W
3 May
vs Mafra
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Academica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Amarante
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Trofense
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Guimaraes B.
What is the prediction for Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers Paredes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guimaraes B 13%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–0 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Guimaraes B?
Paredes vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
