Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUxbridge to win ✓63% · @1.53
Double chanceUxbridge or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 8.88
Uxbridge vs Yate Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Uxbridge take on Yate Town on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Uxbridge are 1st with 33 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Yate Town sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uxbridge's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Basingstoke Town 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yate Town's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Wimborne Town 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Uxbridge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Uxbridge and 0.9 for Yate Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Uxbridge 63%, draw 25%, Yate Town 12%.
Safer route: Uxbridge or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Uxbridge to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Uxbridge 2–0 Yate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uxbridge63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
Yate Town12%fair 8.13 · @5.00
2.96Expected goals
2.09Uxbridge xG
0.87Yate Town xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Uxbridge 2.1 – 0.9 Yate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uxbridge to win✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Double chance
Uxbridge or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Uxbridge ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uxbridge / FT Uxbridge✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
8.88
–
Form
Uxbridge – last 6
WWWLWW
27 Oct
@ Basingstoke Town
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Egham Town
3–0
W
20 Oct
vs Malvern Town
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs AFC Hornchurch
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Evesham United
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Hungerford Town
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yate Town – last 6
DDLLDL
27 Oct
vs Wimborne Town
0–0
D
20 Oct
vs Sholing
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Malvern Town
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Berkhamsted
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Frome Town
3–3
D
29 Sep
@ Wimborne Town
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uxbridge and Yate Town.
Our pick is Uxbridge to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Uxbridge vs Yate Town?
On our numbers Uxbridge have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yate Town 12%.
How many goals will there be in Uxbridge vs Yate Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uxbridge vs Yate Town?
Our predicted score is Uxbridge 2–0 Yate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Uxbridge vs Yate Town?
Uxbridge vs Yate Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
