Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPoole Town to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Poole Town take on Chertsey Town on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT). Poole Town are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Chertsey Town sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Poole Town's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Didcot Town 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Chertsey Town's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Takeley 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Poole Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished Chertsey Town 1–3 Poole Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.8 for Poole Town and 1.3 for Chertsey Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Poole Town 50%, draw 19%, Chertsey Town 31%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Poole Town 2–1 Chertsey Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poole Town50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
Chertsey Town31%fair 3.22 · @2.88
3.11Expected goals
1.78Poole Town xG
1.34Chertsey Town xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Poole Town 1.8 – 1.3 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
On our numbers Poole Town have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chertsey Town 31%.
How many goals will there be in Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
Our predicted score is Poole Town 2–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
