Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Berkhamsted or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerkhamsted to win59% · @1.80
Double chanceBerkhamsted or draw81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.05
Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town preview and prediction
The match
Basingstoke Town travel to face Berkhamsted in the Non League Premier Southern South on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT). Berkhamsted are 12th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Basingstoke Town sit 15th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Berkhamsted's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Yate Town 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Basingstoke Town's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Havant & Wville 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Berkhamsted arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Berkhamsted and 1.0 for Basingstoke Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Berkhamsted 59%, draw 23%, Basingstoke Town 19%.
Safer route: Berkhamsted or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Berkhamsted or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Berkhamsted 1–1 Basingstoke Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Berkhamsted59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Basingstoke Town19%fair 5.32 · @3.60
3.01Expected goals
1.98Berkhamsted xG
1.04Basingstoke Town xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Berkhamsted 2.0 – 1.0 Basingstoke Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berkhamsted to win
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Berkhamsted or draw
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Berkhamsted ahead at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berkhamsted / FT Berkhamsted
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.05
–
Form
Berkhamsted – last 6
WWLWLW
10 Oct
@ Yate Town
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Redditch United
2–0
W
29 Sep
@ Sholing
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Chatham Town
3–1
W
22 Sep
vs Hanworth Villa
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Hendon
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Basingstoke Town – last 6
LWLLDD
13 Oct
@ Havant & Wville
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Malvern Town
4–1
W
29 Sep
@ Uxbridge
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Poole Town
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Gosport Borough
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Gloucester City
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berkhamsted and Basingstoke Town.
What is the prediction for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
Our pick is Berkhamsted or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
On our numbers Berkhamsted have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Basingstoke Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
Our predicted score is Berkhamsted 1–1 Basingstoke Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
