Malvern Town vs Gloucester City prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Gloucester City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGloucester City to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceGloucester City or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Malvern Town take on Gloucester City on Tuesday 22 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Malvern Town are 21st with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Gloucester City sit 19th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Malvern Town's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Chertsey Town 0–5 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gloucester City's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat AFC Totton 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gloucester City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Malvern Town and 2.3 for Gloucester City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malvern Town 14%, draw 24%, Gloucester City 62%.
Safer route: Gloucester City or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gloucester City to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Malvern Town 1–2 Gloucester City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malvern Town14%fair 7.22 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.50
Gloucester City62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
3.43Expected goals
1.10Malvern Town xG
2.33Gloucester City xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–38%
0–37%
From our goals model: Malvern Town 1.1 – 2.3 Gloucester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gloucester City to win✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Gloucester City or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Gloucester City ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gloucester City / FT Gloucester City✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Malvern Town – last 6
LDLLLD
12 Sep
@ Chertsey Town
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Chippenham Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wimborne Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Bracknell Town
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gloucester City – last 6
WDDLDW
19 Sep
@ AFC Totton
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Basingstoke Town
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Mangotsfield United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Evesham United
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Havant & Wville
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Hanwell Town
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malvern Town and Gloucester City.
What is the prediction for Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
Our pick is Gloucester City to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
On our numbers Malvern Town have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gloucester City 62%.
How many goals will there be in Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
Our predicted score is Malvern Town 1–2 Gloucester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Malvern Town vs Gloucester City?
Malvern Town vs Gloucester City (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
