Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Gosport Borough to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBasingstoke Town to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough preview and prediction
The match
Basingstoke Town host Gosport Borough in the Non League Premier Southern South on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Basingstoke Town are 16th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Gosport Borough sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Basingstoke Town's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Gloucester City 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gosport Borough's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Taunton Town 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Basingstoke Town and 1.5 for Gosport Borough. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Basingstoke Town 40%, draw 21%, Gosport Borough 38%.
Value angle: Gosport Borough to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Basingstoke Town 2–1 Gosport Borough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Basingstoke Town40%fair 2.49 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Gosport Borough38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
3.05Expected goals
1.54Basingstoke Town xG
1.50Gosport Borough xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Basingstoke Town 1.5 – 1.5 Gosport Borough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basingstoke Town to win✗
40%
2.49
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basingstoke Town / FT Basingstoke Town✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
Basingstoke Town – last 6
DDWLDW
12 Sep
@ Gloucester City
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs AFC Stoneham
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Bracknell Town
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Taunton Town
3–4
L
22 Aug
vs Bath City
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Poole Town
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gosport Borough – last 6
WLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Taunton Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Plymouth Parkway
1–3
L
31 Aug
@ Sholing
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Malvern Town
4–2
W
22 Aug
@ Frome Town
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Uxbridge
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basingstoke Town and Gosport Borough.
What is the prediction for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
On our numbers Basingstoke Town have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gosport Borough 38%.
How many goals will there be in Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
Our predicted score is Basingstoke Town 2–1 Gosport Borough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?
Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
