Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChertsey Town to win ✓65% · @1.42
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Chertsey Town take on Malvern Town on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Chertsey Town are 7th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Malvern Town sit 20th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chertsey Town's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Carshalton Athletic 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Malvern Town's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Redditch United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Chertsey Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Chertsey Town and 1.1 for Malvern Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chertsey Town 65%, draw 20%, Malvern Town 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Chertsey Town 2–1 Malvern Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertsey Town65%fair 1.53 · @1.42
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.20
Malvern Town14%fair 7.04 · @5.50
3.45Expected goals
2.38Chertsey Town xG
1.07Malvern Town xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chertsey Town 2.4 – 1.1 Malvern Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertsey Town to win✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Double chance
Chertsey Town or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Chertsey Town ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Chertsey Town – last 6
DLLWDW
5 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Hanworth Villa
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Frome Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Sholing
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Yate Town
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Berkhamsted
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malvern Town – last 6
DLLLDL
5 Sep
vs Redditch United
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Chippenham Town
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Gosport Borough
2–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wimborne Town
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Bracknell Town
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ Taunton Town
2–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Malvern Town.
What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malvern Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 2–1 Malvern Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town?
Chertsey Town vs Malvern Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
