Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 55% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +93%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓55% · @3.50
Double chanceAnstey Nomads or draw ✓78% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓12% · fair 8.48
Anstey Nomads vs Leiston preview and prediction
The match
Anstey Nomads host Leiston in the Non League Premier Southern Central on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Anstey Nomads are 7th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Leiston sit 17th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Anstey Nomads's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Racing Club Warwick 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leiston's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Gorleston 3–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Anstey Nomads arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Anstey Nomads and 1.4 for Leiston. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 55% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Anstey Nomads or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Anstey Nomads 1–1 Leiston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anstey Nomads23%fair 4.42 · @2.38
Draw55%fair 1.81 · @3.50
Leiston22%fair 4.50 · @2.45
2.84Expected goals
1.42Anstey Nomads xG
1.41Leiston xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Anstey Nomads 1.4 – 1.4 Leiston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
55%
1.81
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Anstey Nomads or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anstey Nomads / FT Anstey Nomads✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
12%
8.48
–
Form
Anstey Nomads – last 6
WWWWWD
6 Apr
vs Racing Club Warwick
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Basford United
4–0
W
24 Mar
@ Carlton Town
6–0
W
10 Mar
vs Mickleover Sports
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs St Neots Town
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Loughborough University
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leiston – last 6
WWWLLW
28 Jul
@ Gorleston
3–1
W
10 Jul
@ Aveley
4–2
W
14 Apr
@ Real Bedford
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Bury Town
1–3
L
3 Apr
@ Redditch United
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Sudbury
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anstey Nomads and Leiston.
What is the prediction for Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
Our pick is Anstey Nomads or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
On our numbers Anstey Nomads have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Leiston 22%.
How many goals will there be in Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
Our predicted score is Anstey Nomads 1–1 Leiston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Anstey Nomads vs Leiston?
Anstey Nomads vs Leiston (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
