Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLancaster City to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
AFC Emley vs Lancaster City preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Northern sees AFC Emley take on Lancaster City on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). AFC Emley are 12th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Lancaster City sit 14th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AFC Emley's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Stockton Town 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Lancaster City's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Leek Town 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lancaster City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for AFC Emley and 1.6 for Lancaster City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Emley 35%, draw 20%, Lancaster City 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: AFC Emley 1–1 Lancaster City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Emley35%fair 2.83 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.40
Lancaster City44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
3.07Expected goals
1.43AFC Emley xG
1.64Lancaster City xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Emley 1.4 – 1.6 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lancaster City to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
AFC Emley – last 6
WDLLLL
17 Oct
@ Stockton Town
3–1
W
13 Oct
@ United of Manchester
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Gainsborough Trinity
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Rylands
1–4
L
29 Sep
vs Workington
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Bootle
0–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 6
LWDLWW
17 Oct
vs Leek Town
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Stockton Town
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
7 Oct
@ Avro
3–5
L
3 Oct
vs Ilkeston Town
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers AFC Emley have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lancaster City 44%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is AFC Emley 1–1 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Emley vs Lancaster City?
AFC Emley vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
