Non League Premier Northern · EnglandAvro vs Lancaster City prediction & analysis
Avro to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Avro 2.4 – 1.0 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Avro are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 13% for Lancaster City.
Avro have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Lancaster City have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Avro come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 for Avro, 1.0 for Lancaster City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Avro to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Avro to win ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.57 ▲ |
| Double chance | Avro or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time result | Avro ahead at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Avro / FT Avro ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.49 | – |
Form
Avro – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Dunston UTS | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Gainsborough Trinity | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Witton Albion | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ United of Manchester | 4–3 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Stockton Town | 5–3 | W |
| 26 Aug | vs Leek Town | 4–4 | D |
Lancaster City – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Ilkeston Town | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Whitby Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cleethorpes Town | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Bradford (Park Avenue) | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Curzon Ashton | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Tadcaster Albion | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avro and Lancaster City.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Avro vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Avro to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Avro vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Avro have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lancaster City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Avro vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Avro vs Lancaster City?
Avro vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.