Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvro to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceAvro or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Avro vs Lancaster City preview and prediction
The match
Avro host Lancaster City in the Non League Premier Northern on Wednesday 7 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Avro are 8th with 29 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Lancaster City sit 14th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Avro's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dunston UTS 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Lancaster City's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Ilkeston Town 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Avro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Avro and 1.0 for Lancaster City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avro 68%, draw 19%, Lancaster City 13%.
Safer route: Avro or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Avro to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avro 2–1 Lancaster City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avro68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.10
Lancaster City13%fair 7.42 · @4.33
3.47Expected goals
2.44Avro xG
1.03Lancaster City xG
51%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Avro 2.4 – 1.0 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avro to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Avro or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Avro ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avro / FT Avro✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Avro – last 6
WWLWWD
26 Sep
@ Dunston UTS
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Gainsborough Trinity
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Witton Albion
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ United of Manchester
4–3
W
29 Aug
vs Stockton Town
5–3
W
26 Aug
vs Leek Town
4–4
D
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 6
WWLLLD
3 Oct
vs Ilkeston Town
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ Bradford (Park Avenue)
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Curzon Ashton
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Tadcaster Albion
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avro and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Avro vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Avro to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Avro vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Avro have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lancaster City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Avro vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avro vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Avro 2–1 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Avro vs Lancaster City?
Avro vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
