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Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town prediction & analysis

82%
Footrivo pick

Redcar Athletic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRedcar Athletic to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceRedcar Athletic or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59

Win chances

Redcar Athletic61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
Alfreton Town18%fair 5.46 · @3.75
2.60Expected goals
1.77Redcar Athletic xG
0.83Alfreton Town xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Redcar Athletic 1.8 – 0.8 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Redcar Athletic are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Alfreton Town.

Redcar Athletic have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Alfreton Town have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Redcar Athletic come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Redcar Athletic, 0.8 for Alfreton Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Redcar Athletic or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.22.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRedcar Athletic to win ✓61%1.641.73 ▲
Double chanceRedcar Athletic or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Half-time resultRedcar Athletic ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Redcar Athletic / FT Redcar Athletic ✓37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.59–

Form

Redcar Athletic – last 6

WDLWWW
26 Sep@ Guisborough Town1–0W
22 Sep@ Cleethorpes Town1–1D
19 Sepvs Macclesfield1–2L
12 Sepvs Leek Town3–2W
5 Sepvs Stocksbridge Park Steels1–0W
31 Aug@ Stockton Town2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Alfreton Town – last 6

WWLLWL
29 Sepvs Guiseley AFC1–0W
26 Sepvs Shifnal Town FC2–1W
12 Sep@ Bamber Bridge0–1L
5 Sepvs Stratford Town0–2L
31 Aug@ Whitby Town4–1W
29 Augvs Rylands1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Redcar Athletic and Alfreton Town.

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cleethorpes Town161132+2536
2Redcar Athletic171052+1835
3Curzon Ashton171115+1334
4Guiseley AFC151023+1832
5Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
6Warrington Town17854+729
7Rylands16925+729
8Avro17926+629
9Workington17836+127
10Bury15825+1326
11Alfreton Town17728+123
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn16565-121
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Hyde United17539-1318
17Ashton United17458-217
18Leek Town17458-517
19Stockton Town174310-615
20Ilkeston Town174112-2413
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge172510-2011

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?

Our pick is Redcar Athletic or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?

On our numbers Redcar Athletic have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfreton Town 18%.

How many goals will there be in Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town?

Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.