Non League Premier Northern · EnglandLancaster City vs Ilkeston Town prediction & analysis
Lancaster City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.9 – 1.0 Ilkeston Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lancaster City are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 24% for Ilkeston Town.
Lancaster City have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Ilkeston Town have 0 points from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), averaging 0.5 scored and 3.2 conceded. Lancaster City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Lancaster City, 1.0 for Ilkeston Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is Lancaster City to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lancaster City to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | Lancaster City ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.31 | – |
Form
Lancaster City – last 6
| 29 Sep | @ Whitby Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cleethorpes Town | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Bradford (Park Avenue) | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Curzon Ashton | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Tadcaster Albion | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Workington | 0–3 | L |
Ilkeston Town – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Rylands | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Anstey Nomads | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Workington | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Leamington | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Quorn | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Bury | 0–7 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Ilkeston Town.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Our pick is Lancaster City to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Ilkeston Town 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.