Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceGuiseley AFC or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town preview and prediction
The match
Leek Town travel to face Guiseley AFC in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT). Guiseley AFC are 4th with 33 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Leek Town sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guiseley AFC's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Redcar Athletic 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leek Town's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Curzon Ashton 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Guiseley AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Guiseley AFC and 1.1 for Leek Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guiseley AFC 66%, draw 18%, Leek Town 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.63.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guiseley AFC to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Guiseley AFC 2–1 Leek Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guiseley AFC66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @4.40
Leek Town17%fair 6.01 · @5.55
3.40Expected goals
2.32Guiseley AFC xG
1.08Leek Town xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 2.3 – 1.1 Leek Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Double chance
Guiseley AFC or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.52
Half-time result
Guiseley AFC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Guiseley AFC – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Oct
@ Redcar Athletic
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Rylands
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs Cleethorpes Town
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Leiston
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Avro
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Ilkeston Town
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leek Town – last 6
LLWWDD
31 Oct
@ Curzon Ashton
1–2
L
27 Oct
@ Bury
3–5
L
24 Oct
vs Bootle
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Lancaster City
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Ashton United
2–2
D
6 Oct
vs Rylands
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Leek Town.
What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
Our pick is Guiseley AFC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leek Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 2–1 Leek Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town?
Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
