Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Burgess Hill Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurgess Hill Town to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceBurgess Hill Town or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Isthmian sees Burgess Hill Town take on Maldon & Tiptree on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Burgess Hill Town are 12th with 22 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Maldon & Tiptree sit 16th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Burgess Hill Town's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Winslow United 6–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Maldon & Tiptree's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cray Wanderers 1–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Burgess Hill Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Burgess Hill Town and 1.2 for Maldon & Tiptree. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgess Hill Town 66%, draw 19%, Maldon & Tiptree 15%.
Safer route: Burgess Hill Town or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Burgess Hill Town to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Maldon & Tiptree. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgess Hill Town66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.00
Maldon & Tiptree15%fair 6.76 · @4.20
3.69Expected goals
2.53Burgess Hill Town xG
1.16Maldon & Tiptree xG
61%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Burgess Hill Town 2.5 – 1.2 Maldon & Tiptree expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgess Hill Town to win✓
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Burgess Hill Town or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Burgess Hill Town ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgess Hill Town / FT Burgess Hill Town✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Burgess Hill Town – last 6
WLWDDD
26 Sep
vs Winslow United
6–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hanwell Town
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Jersey Bulls
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ramsgate
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Jersey Bulls
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ Whitehawk
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maldon & Tiptree – last 6
LLLLLW
29 Sep
vs Cray Wanderers
1–5
L
26 Sep
vs Egham Town
0–2
L
22 Sep
@ Brentwood Town
1–5
L
19 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
2–3
L
15 Sep
@ Ramsgate
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Whitehawk
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgess Hill Town and Maldon & Tiptree.
What is the prediction for Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?
Our pick is Burgess Hill Town to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?
On our numbers Burgess Hill Town have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maldon & Tiptree 15%.
How many goals will there be in Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?
Our predicted score is Burgess Hill Town 2–1 Maldon & Tiptree, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree?
Burgess Hill Town vs Maldon & Tiptree (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
