Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAveley to win ✗59% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley preview and prediction
The match
Aveley host Wingate & Finchley in the Non League Premier Isthmian on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Aveley are 15th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Wingate & Finchley sit 10th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aveley's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Leatherhead 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Wingate & Finchley's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Welling United 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Aveley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Aveley and 1.2 for Wingate & Finchley. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Aveley 2–1 Wingate & Finchley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aveley59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @3.90
Wingate & Finchley23%fair 4.44 · @4.50
3.19Expected goals
2.04Aveley xG
1.15Wingate & Finchley xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Aveley 2.0 – 1.2 Wingate & Finchley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aveley to win✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Aveley ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aveley / FT Aveley✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Aveley – last 6
LWWLWW
12 Sep
vs Leatherhead
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Cheshunt
4–2
W
31 Aug
@ Stanway Rovers
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Lewes
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Three Bridges
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Whitehawk
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wingate & Finchley – last 6
LDLWWD
12 Sep
@ Welling United
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Enfield Town
1–4
L
29 Aug
@ Chatham Town
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Dulwich Hamlet
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Whyteleafe
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aveley and Wingate & Finchley.
What is the prediction for Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
On our numbers Aveley have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wingate & Finchley 23%.
How many goals will there be in Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our predicted score is Aveley 2–1 Wingate & Finchley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley?
Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
