Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJarun to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Jarun vs Bjelovar preview and prediction
The match
The Second NL sees Jarun take on Bjelovar on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion NK Jarun. Jarun are 2nd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Bjelovar sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jarun's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Inter Zapresic 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bjelovar's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Koprivnica 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Jarun arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Jarun and 1.5 for Bjelovar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jarun 45%, draw 20%, Bjelovar 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Jarun 2–1 Bjelovar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jarun45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Bjelovar35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
3.29Expected goals
1.77Jarun xG
1.53Bjelovar xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Jarun 1.8 – 1.5 Bjelovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarun to win✗
45%
2.23
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarun / FT Jarun✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Jarun – last 6
DWWDDW
17 Oct
@ Inter Zapresic
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Varteks Varaždin
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Grobničan Čavle
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Križevci
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Trnje
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Slavonija Požega
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bjelovar – last 6
WLDDWL
17 Oct
vs Koprivnica
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Dugo Selo
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Inter Zapresic
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Varteks Varaždin
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Uskok Klis
3–2
W
15 Sep
vs Karlovac 1919
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarun and Bjelovar.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Jarun vs Bjelovar?
On our numbers Jarun have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bjelovar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Jarun vs Bjelovar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarun vs Bjelovar?
Our predicted score is Jarun 2–1 Bjelovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jarun vs Bjelovar?
Jarun vs Bjelovar (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion NK Jarun.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
