Value bet: Varteks Varaždin to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVarteks Varaždin to win ✗46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica preview and prediction
The match
The Second NL sees Varteks Varaždin take on Koprivnica on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Varteks Varaždin are 15th with 8 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Koprivnica sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Varteks Varaždin's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Bjelovar 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Koprivnica's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Uskok Klis 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Varteks Varaždin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Varteks Varaždin and 1.4 for Koprivnica. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Value angle: Varteks Varaždin to win at 2.35 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Varteks Varaždin 2–1 Koprivnica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Varteks Varaždin46%fair 2.20 · @2.35
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Koprivnica34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
3.10Expected goals
1.68Varteks Varaždin xG
1.42Koprivnica xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Varteks Varaždin 1.7 – 1.4 Koprivnica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varteks Varaždin to win✗
46%
2.20
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varteks Varaždin / FT Varteks Varaždin✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
Varteks Varaždin – last 6
DLWLLD
26 Sep
@ Bjelovar
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Inter Zapresic
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Dugo Selo
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Uskok Klis
1–4
L
29 Aug
@ Grobničan Čavle
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Bedem Ivankovo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Koprivnica – last 6
LLLLLD
24 Sep
vs Uskok Klis
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Grobničan Čavle
1–5
L
12 Sep
vs Križevci
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Rudes
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Trnje
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Slavonija Požega
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Varteks Varaždin and Koprivnica.
What is the prediction for Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica?
On our numbers Varteks Varaždin have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Koprivnica 34%.
How many goals will there be in Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica?
Our predicted score is Varteks Varaždin 2–1 Koprivnica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica?
Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
