Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Zagora to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLucko to win ✗42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Lucko vs Zagora preview and prediction
The match
Lucko host Zagora in the Second NL on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Lucko are 13th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Zagora sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lucko's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Dugo Selo 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Zagora's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Uljanik 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Zagora arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Lucko and 1.6 for Zagora. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lucko 42%, draw 21%, Zagora 37%.
Value angle: Zagora to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Lucko 2–1 Zagora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lucko42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Zagora37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
3.31Expected goals
1.71Lucko xG
1.60Zagora xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lucko 1.7 – 1.6 Zagora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lucko to win✗
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lucko / FT Lucko✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Form
Lucko – last 6
LDLWDL
18 Sep
vs Dugo Selo
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Uljanik
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Solin
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Jarun
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Karlovac 1919
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zagora – last 6
WDLDDW
19 Sep
vs Uljanik
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Solin
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs NK Varazdin
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Jarun
4–4
D
26 Aug
vs Bratstvo Jurovec
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lucko and Zagora.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lucko vs Zagora?
On our numbers Lucko have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zagora 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lucko vs Zagora?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lucko vs Zagora?
Our predicted score is Lucko 2–1 Zagora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lucko vs Zagora?
Lucko vs Zagora (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
