Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Jarun to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJarun to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98
Križevci vs Jarun preview and prediction
The match
Križevci host Jarun in the Second NL on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Krizevci. Križevci are 8th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Jarun sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Križevci's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Koprivnica 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Jarun's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Trnje 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Križevci and 1.7 for Jarun. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Križevci 38%, draw 23%, Jarun 40%.
Value angle: Jarun to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Križevci 1–2 Jarun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Križevci38%fair 2.65 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Jarun40%fair 2.52 · @2.80
3.36Expected goals
1.66Križevci xG
1.70Jarun xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Križevci 1.7 – 1.7 Jarun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jarun to win✗
40%
2.52
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jarun / FT Jarun✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Form
Križevci – last 6
WLLLWD
12 Sep
@ Koprivnica
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Bjelovar
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Inter Zapresic
0–3
L
26 Aug
@ Orijent 1919
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Varteks Varaždin
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Bjelovar
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jarun – last 6
DWDDDL
12 Sep
vs Trnje
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Slavonija Požega
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Zagora
4–4
D
22 Aug
@ Lucko
1–1
D
30 May
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
22 May
@ Karlovac 1919
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Križevci and Jarun.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Križevci vs Jarun?
On our numbers Križevci have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jarun 40%.
How many goals will there be in Križevci vs Jarun?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Križevci vs Jarun?
Our predicted score is Križevci 1–2 Jarun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Križevci vs Jarun?
Križevci vs Jarun (Second NL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Krizevci.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
