Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lucko to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLucko to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceLucko or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
Lucko vs Dugo Selo preview and prediction
The match
Lucko host Dugo Selo in the Second NL on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Lucko are 13th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Dugo Selo sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lucko's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Uljanik 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dugo Selo's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Varteks Varaždin 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dugo Selo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Dugo Selo 1–0 Lucko.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Lucko and 0.9 for Dugo Selo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lucko 58%, draw 22%, Dugo Selo 20%.
Safer route: Lucko or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Lucko to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lucko or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lucko 1–0 Dugo Selo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lucko58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Dugo Selo20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
2.55Expected goals
1.69Lucko xG
0.87Dugo Selo xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lucko 1.7 – 0.9 Dugo Selo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lucko or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lucko vs Dugo Selo?
On our numbers Lucko have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dugo Selo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lucko vs Dugo Selo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lucko vs Dugo Selo?
Our predicted score is Lucko 1–0 Dugo Selo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lucko vs Dugo Selo?
Lucko vs Dugo Selo (Second NL) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
