Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultESMTK to win ✓66% · @1.22
Double chanceESMTK or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
ESMTK vs Dabas preview and prediction
The match
ESMTK host Dabas in the NB III Southeast on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). ESMTK are 2nd with 34 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Dabas sit 9th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ESMTK's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Szeged-Csanád II 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dabas's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to III. Kerületi TUE 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
ESMTK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Dabas 1–2 ESMTK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for ESMTK and 1.0 for Dabas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ESMTK 66%, draw 19%, Dabas 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: ESMTK 2–1 Dabas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ESMTK66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @5.25
Dabas15%fair 6.70 · @9.00
3.41Expected goals
2.36ESMTK xG
1.05Dabas xG
50%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: ESMTK 2.4 – 1.0 Dabas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win ESMTK vs Dabas?
On our numbers ESMTK have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dabas 15%.
How many goals will there be in ESMTK vs Dabas?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ESMTK vs Dabas?
Our predicted score is ESMTK 2–1 Dabas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is ESMTK vs Dabas?
ESMTK vs Dabas (NB III Southeast) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
