Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTatabánya to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya preview and prediction
The match
The NB III Northwest sees Pápai Perutz take on Tatabánya on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Pápai Perutz are 14th with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Tatabánya sit 2nd on 34 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pápai Perutz's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Bicskei 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tatabánya's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Zalaegerszegi TE II 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Tatabánya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Tatabánya 6–2 Pápai Perutz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Pápai Perutz and 2.3 for Tatabánya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pápai Perutz 17%, draw 15%, Tatabánya 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tatabánya to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Pápai Perutz 1–2 Tatabánya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pápai Perutz17%fair 5.73 · @6.00
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @5.50
Tatabánya67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
3.27Expected goals
1.02Pápai Perutz xG
2.26Tatabánya xG
51%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pápai Perutz 1.0 – 2.3 Tatabánya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
Our pick is Tatabánya to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
On our numbers Pápai Perutz have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tatabánya 67%.
How many goals will there be in Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
Our predicted score is Pápai Perutz 1–2 Tatabánya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya (NB III Northwest) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
