Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Wellington Phoenix to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle Jets host Wellington Phoenix in the A League on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at McDonald Jones Stadium. Newcastle Jets are 10th with 2 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Wellington Phoenix sit 1st on 10 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Newcastle Jets's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Kyoto Sanga 2–5 away. They average 1.5 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Wellington Phoenix's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Central Coast Mariners 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Wellington Phoenix arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Newcastle Jets and 1.4 for Wellington Phoenix. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Wellington Phoenix to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Newcastle Jets 1–1 Wellington Phoenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle Jets40%fair 2.52 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Wellington Phoenix38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
2.75Expected goals
1.40Newcastle Jets xG
1.35Wellington Phoenix xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.4 – 1.4 Wellington Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✗
40%
2.52
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LDDLLL
27 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–5
L
24 Oct
vs Macarthur
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
1–3
L
15 Sep
@ Kashima
1–7
L
21 Jul
@ Preston Lions
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Wellington Phoenix – last 6
WWLWLW
25 Oct
vs Central Coast Mariners
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Melbourne Victory
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Macarthur
0–4
L
18 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Melbourne City
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Melbourne Victory
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wellington Phoenix 38%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–1 Wellington Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix?
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
