Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
A League · Australia · Hnry Stadium

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction & analysis

52%
Footrivo pick

Melbourne Victory to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.10Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✗52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory preview and prediction

The match

Melbourne Victory travel to Hnry Stadium in the A League on Sunday 18 October (03:00 WAT) to face Wellington Phoenix. Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 10 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Melbourne Victory sit 9th on 3 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Wellington Phoenix's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Macarthur 0–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Melbourne Victory's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat FC Seoul 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Melbourne Victory 0–1 Wellington Phoenix.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Victory to win – a 52% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Wellington Phoenix28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Melbourne Victory52%fair 1.93 · @2.10

Most likely scores

Goal projections appear once goal data is in.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Victory to win ✗52%1.932.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.29

Form

Wellington Phoenix – last 6

LWLWWW
24 Apr@ Macarthur0–4L
18 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers2–1W
12 Apr@ Melbourne City0–2L
5 Apr@ Melbourne Victory1–0W
21 Mar@ Brisbane Roar2–1W
14 Marvs Perth Glory2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Melbourne Victory – last 6

WDDWDD
14 Octvs FC Seoul3–0W
10 Oct@ South Melbourne0–0D
16 Sep@ Viettel1–1D
9 Sep@ Sydney2–0W
19 Aug@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers0–0D
8 Aug@ Western Sydney Wanderers0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix0–1
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Our pick is Melbourne Victory to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

On our numbers Wellington Phoenix have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Melbourne Victory 52%.

When is Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory?

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory (A League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Hnry Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.