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A League · Australia · Mount Smart Stadium
3–1
FT

Auckland vs Melbourne City prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Either team to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1

Value bet: Auckland to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultAuckland to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33

Auckland vs Melbourne City preview and prediction

The match

Auckland host Melbourne City in the A League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at Mount Smart Stadium. Auckland are 8th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Melbourne City sit 4th on 7 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Auckland's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Western Sydney Wanderers 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Melbourne City's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Lions 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Auckland 3–0 Melbourne City.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 78% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Auckland47%fair 2.12 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.20
Melbourne City31%fair 3.25 · @2.75

Most likely scores

Goal projections appear once goal data is in.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuckland to win ✓47%2.122.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33

Form

Auckland – last 6

LLLWWD
19 Sepvs Western Sydney Wanderers1–3L
26 Aug@ Al-Ahli Jeddah0–1L
26 Julvs Tottenham0–2L
23 Mayvs Sydney1–0W
15 May@ Adelaide United3–0W
9 Mayvs Adelaide United1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Melbourne City – last 6

LLWLWW
11 Aug@ Lions0–2L
7 Augvs Palermo0–2L
26 Jul@ Weston Bears3–0W
26 Aprvs Adelaide United1–2L
18 Apr@ Brisbane Roar3–2W
12 Aprvs Wellington Phoenix2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Auckland v Melbourne City3–0
Auckland vs Melbourne City head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auckland vs Melbourne City?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Auckland vs Melbourne City?

On our numbers Auckland have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Melbourne City 31%.

When is Auckland vs Melbourne City?

Auckland vs Melbourne City (A League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Mount Smart Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.