Dundee II travel to Ainslie Park in the Challenge Cup on Friday 25 September (19:45 WAT) to face Spartans.
Form guide
Spartans's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dundee II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Elgin City 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Spartans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for Spartans and 1.0 for Dundee II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartans 69%, draw 22%, Dundee II 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spartans 2–1 Dundee II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartans69%fair 1.46 · @1.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @5.00
Dundee II10%fair 10.36 · @12.00
3.63Expected goals
2.61Spartans xG
1.02Dundee II xG
58%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Spartans 2.6 – 1.0 Dundee II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartans to win✓
69%
1.46
1.20
Double chance
Spartans or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Spartans ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartans / FT Spartans✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Form
Spartans – last 6
DLWLWD
22 Sep
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Dumbarton
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Forfar Athletic
5–1
W
8 Sep
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Clyde
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dundee II – last 5
LLLLL
22 Sep
@ Elgin City
0–3
L
8 Sep
@ Montrose
2–3
L
25 Aug
@ Peterhead
1–2
L
11 Aug
@ Formartine United
1–4
L
2 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartans and Dundee II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Spartans vs Dundee II?
On our numbers Spartans have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundee II 10%.
How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Dundee II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Dundee II?
Our predicted score is Spartans 2–1 Dundee II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spartans vs Dundee II?
Spartans vs Dundee II (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
