Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultElgin City to win ✓69% · @1.53
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh preview and prediction
The match
Fraserburgh travel to Borough Briggs in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT) to face Elgin City.
Form guide
Elgin City's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Dumbarton 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Fraserburgh's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Deveronvale 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Elgin City and 0.7 for Fraserburgh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 61%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elgin City 69%, draw 20%, Fraserburgh 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Elgin City to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elgin City 2–0 Fraserburgh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elgin City69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.20
Fraserburgh11%fair 9.11 · @4.75
2.86Expected goals
2.13Elgin City xG
0.73Fraserburgh xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Elgin City 2.1 – 0.7 Fraserburgh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elgin City to win✓
69%
1.45
1.53 ▲
Double chance
Elgin City or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Half-time result
Elgin City ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elgin City / FT Elgin City✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Elgin City – last 6
LWWDWL
5 Sep
@ Dumbarton
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Stirling Albion
4–0
W
25 Aug
@ Clachnacuddin
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Spartans
3–3
D
15 Aug
vs Kelty Hearts
4–1
W
11 Aug
vs Ross County
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fraserburgh – last 6
LDDWLW
5 Sep
@ Deveronvale
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Clachnacuddin
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Aberdeen U21
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Lossiemouth
4–0
W
19 Aug
@ Inverurie Loco Works
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Nairn County
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elgin City and Fraserburgh.
What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
Our pick is Elgin City to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
On our numbers Elgin City have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fraserburgh 11%.
How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
Our predicted score is Elgin City 2–0 Fraserburgh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Elgin City vs Fraserburgh?
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.