Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: AEK Athens FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC preview and prediction
The match
Panathinaikos host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Olympic Stadium of Athens. Panathinaikos are 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while AEK Athens FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Panathinaikos's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Aris Thessalonikis 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
AEK Athens FC's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to PAOK 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Panathinaikos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Panathinaikos and 1.5 for AEK Athens FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Panathinaikos 39%, draw 24%, AEK Athens FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: AEK Athens FC to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Panathinaikos 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panathinaikos39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
AEK Athens FC37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
3.07Expected goals
1.56Panathinaikos xG
1.51AEK Athens FC xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 1.6 – 1.5 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
39%
2.55
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Panathinaikos – last 6
WWWWWL
28 Oct
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Volos NFC
1–0
W
22 Oct
@ Kairat Almaty
5–1
W
18 Oct
vs Asteras Tripolis
5–1
W
15 Oct
vs Borac Banja Luka
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
LWLLWW
28 Oct
@ PAOK
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Panetolikos
5–0
W
20 Oct
@ Manchester City
1–5
L
14 Oct
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs OFI
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEK Athens FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Stadium of Athens.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
