AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees AEK Athens FC take on Panetolikos on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Allwyn Arena. AEK Athens FC are 3rd with 20 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Panetolikos sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AEK Athens FC's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Manchester City 1–5 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Panetolikos's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AEK Athens FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for AEK Athens FC and 0.8 for Panetolikos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEK Athens FC 70%, draw 15%, Panetolikos 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panetolikos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Athens FC70%fair 1.43 · @1.12
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @8.50
Panetolikos14%fair 6.90 · @17.00
2.92Expected goals
2.13AEK Athens FC xG
0.79Panetolikos xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 2.1 – 0.8 Panetolikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✓
70%
1.43
1.12
Double chance
AEK Athens FC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
AEK Athens FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
AEK Athens FC – last 6
LLWWWD
20 Oct
@ Manchester City
1–5
L
14 Oct
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs OFI
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Panserraikos
8–1
W
13 Sep
@ Asteras Tripolis
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Panetolikos – last 6
LLLLWW
18 Oct
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Kifisia
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs PAOK
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Levadiakos
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Kalamata
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Athens FC and Panetolikos.
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Panetolikos 14%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 2–1 Panetolikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos?
AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
