Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis preview and prediction
The match
Panathinaikos host Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. Panathinaikos are 1st with 27 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Asteras Tripolis sit 11th on 7 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Panathinaikos's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Borac Banja Luka 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Asteras Tripolis's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Atromitos 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Panathinaikos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Panathinaikos and 0.6 for Asteras Tripolis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Panathinaikos to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Panathinaikos 1–0 Asteras Tripolis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panathinaikos71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.33 · @6.00
Asteras Tripolis13%fair 7.54 · @13.00
2.58Expected goals
1.95Panathinaikos xG
0.63Asteras Tripolis xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Panathinaikos 2.0 – 0.6 Asteras Tripolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
71%
1.41
1.20
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Panathinaikos – last 6
WLWWWW
15 Oct
vs Borac Banja Luka
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Kalamata
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Kifisia
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Panetolikos
3–0
W
10 Sep
vs Kifisia
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
WDWDDL
10 Oct
vs Atromitos
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ OFI
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Niki Volos
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs AEK Athens FC
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Iraklis 1908
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis.
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Asteras Tripolis 13%.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–0 Asteras Tripolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?
Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
