The Super League 1 sees PAOK take on Kalamata on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Toumba Stadium. PAOK are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Kalamata sit 8th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
PAOK's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Panetolikos 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kalamata's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Panathinaikos 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
PAOK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for PAOK and 0.8 for Kalamata. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAOK 72%, draw 17%, Kalamata 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PAOK 2–1 Kalamata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAOK72%fair 1.39 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @6.50
Kalamata12%fair 8.62 · @12.00
3.10Expected goals
2.31PAOK xG
0.79Kalamata xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.3 – 0.8 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
72%
1.39
1.18
Double chance
PAOK or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.34
–
Form
PAOK – last 6
WWWLDW
20 Sep
@ Panetolikos
3–1
W
16 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Panathinaikos
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs OFI
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Atromitos
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kalamata – last 6
LDWDDL
20 Sep
vs Panathinaikos
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Larisa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Kalamata.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win PAOK vs Kalamata?
On our numbers PAOK have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kalamata 12%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Kalamata?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–1 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Kalamata?
PAOK vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
