Value bet: Panathinaikos to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.77
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees Olympiakos Piraeus take on Panathinaikos on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. Olympiakos Piraeus are 2nd with 23 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Panathinaikos sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Olympiakos Piraeus's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Levadiakos 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Panathinaikos's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kalamata 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Panathinaikos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.9 for Panathinaikos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Panathinaikos to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olympiakos Piraeus43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Panathinaikos33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.00Expected goals
1.09Olympiakos Piraeus xG
0.91Panathinaikos xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.1 – 0.9 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers Olympiakos Piraeus have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Panathinaikos 33%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
