Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos preview and prediction
The match
Kalamata host Panathinaikos in the Super League 1 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Dimotiko Stadio Paralias. Kalamata are 8th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Panathinaikos sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kalamata's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Larisa 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Panathinaikos's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kifisia 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Panathinaikos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.8 for Kalamata and 2.4 for Panathinaikos. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Panathinaikos to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kalamata 0–2 Panathinaikos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalamata10%fair 10.35 · @8.50
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.80
Panathinaikos71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
3.25Expected goals
0.83Kalamata xG
2.42Panathinaikos xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–29%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Kalamata 0.8 – 2.4 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panathinaikos to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
Kalamata – last 6
DWDDLL
17 Sep
vs Larisa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atromitos
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Panetolikos
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Panathinaikos – last 6
WWWWWW
16 Sep
@ Kifisia
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Panetolikos
3–0
W
10 Sep
vs Kifisia
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs PAOK
3–1
W
3 Sep
vs Niki Volos
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Levadiakos
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalamata and Panathinaikos.
What is the prediction for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers Kalamata have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Panathinaikos 71%.
How many goals will there be in Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is Kalamata 0–2 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?
Kalamata vs Panathinaikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Dimotiko Stadio Paralias.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
