Value bet: Iraklis 1908 to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsteras Tripolis to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 preview and prediction
The match
Asteras Tripolis host Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1 on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Asteras Tripolis are 11th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Iraklis 1908 sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Asteras Tripolis's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Iraklis 1908's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Volos NFC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.2 for Iraklis 1908. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Iraklis 1908 to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Iraklis 1908. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asteras Tripolis47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Iraklis 190832%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.54Asteras Tripolis xG
1.21Iraklis 1908 xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.5 – 1.2 Iraklis 1908 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asteras Tripolis to win✗
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asteras Tripolis / FT Asteras Tripolis✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Asteras Tripolis – last 6
LLLDDW
30 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Panetolikos
1–3
L
18 Aug
@ Levadiakos
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ ADO Den Haag
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
21 May
@ Panetolikos
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Iraklis 1908 – last 6
DLLDDL
29 Aug
@ Volos NFC
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
17 Aug
vs Volos NFC
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Parma
1–1
D
29 Jul
@ Palermo
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Bologna
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Iraklis 1908.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iraklis 1908 32%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Iraklis 1908, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908?
Asteras Tripolis vs Iraklis 1908 (Super League 1) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
