Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPanetolikos to win ✓43% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Panetolikos vs Kalamata preview and prediction
The match
Panetolikos host Kalamata in the Super League 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Panetolikos Stadium. Panetolikos are 10th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Kalamata sit 8th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Panetolikos's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Asteras Tripolis 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kalamata's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Aris Thessalonikis 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kalamata arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 August 2026, finished Kalamata 4–2 Panetolikos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Panetolikos and 1.6 for Kalamata. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 – 53% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Panetolikos 1–1 Kalamata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panetolikos43%fair 2.34 · @2.26
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Kalamata34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
3.39Expected goals
1.80Panetolikos xG
1.59Kalamata xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Panetolikos 1.8 – 1.6 Kalamata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panetolikos vs Kalamata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Panetolikos vs Kalamata?
On our numbers Panetolikos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kalamata 34%.
How many goals will there be in Panetolikos vs Kalamata?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panetolikos vs Kalamata?
Our predicted score is Panetolikos 1–1 Kalamata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Panetolikos vs Kalamata?
Panetolikos vs Kalamata (Super League 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Panetolikos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
