Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 2.30 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
2.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfL Wolfsburg W to win ✓74% · @1.06
Double chanceVfL Wolfsburg W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @2.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W preview and prediction
The match
The Frauen Bundesliga sees Mainz 05 W take on VfL Wolfsburg W on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Bruchwegstadion. Mainz 05 W are 14th with 0 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while VfL Wolfsburg W sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mainz 05 W's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to RB Leipzig W 0–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
VfL Wolfsburg W's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Hamburger SV W 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
VfL Wolfsburg W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.0 for Mainz 05 W and 3.0 for VfL Wolfsburg W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mainz 05 W 8%, draw 17%, VfL Wolfsburg W 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 2.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mainz 05 W 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mainz 05 W8%fair 12.43 · @29.00
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @11.00
VfL Wolfsburg W74%fair 1.34 · @1.06
4.00Expected goals
1.03Mainz 05 W xG
2.97VfL Wolfsburg W xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–28%
0–38%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Mainz 05 W 1.0 – 3.0 VfL Wolfsburg W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg W to win✓
74%
1.34
1.06
Double chance
VfL Wolfsburg W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
VfL Wolfsburg W ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg W / FT VfL Wolfsburg W✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Form
Mainz 05 W – last 6
LWLLLL
3 Oct
@ RB Leipzig W
0–5
L
26 Sep
@ Ingolstadt W
6–1
W
18 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ SC Freiburg W
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Koln W
0–4
L
31 Aug
@ Bayern Munich W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VfL Wolfsburg W – last 6
WWWWLW
4 Oct
vs Hamburger SV W
2–1
W
30 Sep
@ Sturm Graz W
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ SC Sand W
6–0
W
23 Sep
vs Sturm Graz W
6–1
W
18 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Stuttgart W
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mainz 05 W and VfL Wolfsburg W.
What is the prediction for Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
On our numbers Mainz 05 W have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 17% and VfL Wolfsburg W 74%.
How many goals will there be in Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
Our predicted score is Mainz 05 W 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W?
Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bruchwegstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
