The Frauen Bundesliga sees RB Leipzig W take on Mainz 05 W on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at RB-Training Center Cottaweg. RB Leipzig W are 9th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Mainz 05 W sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
RB Leipzig W's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Blau-Gelb Marburg W 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mainz 05 W's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Ingolstadt W 6–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
RB Leipzig W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for RB Leipzig W and 0.9 for Mainz 05 W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: RB Leipzig W 69%, draw 19%, Mainz 05 W 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was RB Leipzig W to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: RB Leipzig W 2–0 Mainz 05 W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RB Leipzig W69%fair 1.46 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.20
Mainz 05 W12%fair 8.30 · @5.25
3.16Expected goals
2.29RB Leipzig W xG
0.87Mainz 05 W xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–08%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig W 2.3 – 0.9 Mainz 05 W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig W to win✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Double chance
RB Leipzig W or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Half-time result
RB Leipzig W ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig W / FT RB Leipzig W✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.99
–
Form
RB Leipzig W – last 6
WLWDLL
27 Sep
@ Blau-Gelb Marburg W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Union Berlin W
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nürnberg W
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Hamburger SV W
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Werder Bremen W
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mainz 05 W – last 6
WLLLLL
26 Sep
@ Ingolstadt W
6–1
W
18 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ SC Freiburg W
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Koln W
0–4
L
31 Aug
@ Bayern Munich W
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Werder Bremen W
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig W and Mainz 05 W.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our pick is RB Leipzig W to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
On our numbers RB Leipzig W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mainz 05 W 12%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig W 2–0 Mainz 05 W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W?
RB Leipzig W vs Mainz 05 W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at RB-Training Center Cottaweg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
