Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Union Berlin W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Union Berlin W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Berlin W to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Berlin W or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W preview and prediction
The match
Union Berlin W host RB Leipzig W in the Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at An der Alten Försterei. Union Berlin W are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while RB Leipzig W sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Berlin W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC Koln W 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
RB Leipzig W's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Nürnberg W 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
RB Leipzig W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Union Berlin W and 0.6 for RB Leipzig W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin W 66%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig W 14%.
Safer route: Union Berlin W or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Union Berlin W to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Berlin W or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Berlin W 1–0 RB Leipzig W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin W66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.30
RB Leipzig W14%fair 6.96 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.75Union Berlin W xG
0.63RB Leipzig W xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Union Berlin W 1.7 – 0.6 RB Leipzig W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Berlin W to win✓
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Union Berlin W or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Union Berlin W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Berlin W / FT Union Berlin W✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Union Berlin W – last 6
LLLLLL
12 Sep
@ FC Koln W
0–3
L
7 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ SC Freiburg W
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Bayern Munich W
1–4
L
17 May
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
2–4
L
10 May
vs 1899 Hoffenheim W
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig W – last 6
WDLLDL
12 Sep
vs Nürnberg W
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Hamburger SV W
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Werder Bremen W
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0–2
L
17 May
@ 1899 Hoffenheim W
0–0
D
11 May
vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin W and RB Leipzig W.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
Our pick is Union Berlin W or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
On our numbers Union Berlin W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and RB Leipzig W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin W 1–0 RB Leipzig W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W?
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at An der Alten Försterei.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
