Wednesday, 11 November 2026 12 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Nacional · Honduras
2–1
FT

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultReal Espana to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma preview and prediction

The match

Real Espana host Atlético Choloma in the Liga Nacional on Monday 31 August, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT). Real Espana are 2nd with 29 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Atlético Choloma sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Real Espana's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with CD Marathon 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Atlético Choloma's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Platense FC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Real Espana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Atlético Choloma 3–2 Real Espana. Across their last 2 meetings Real Espana have won 1, Atlético Choloma 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Real Espana and 0.6 for Atlético Choloma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Real Espana66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.90
Atlético Choloma15%fair 6.64 · @6.00
2.40Expected goals
1.76Real Espana xG
0.64Atlético Choloma xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Real Espana 1.8 – 0.6 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✓66%1.511.48
Double chanceReal Espana or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.93
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.30
Half-time resultReal Espana ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.29–

Form

Real Espana – last 6

DDWWDL
23 Aug@ CD Marathon1–1D
16 Augvs Atletico Independiente1–1D
9 Augvs Génesis2–0W
1 Aug@ Platense FC3–0W
19 Mayvs CD Marathon1–1D
13 May@ CD Olimpia2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlético Choloma – last 6

WLLLWL
23 Augvs Platense FC2–0W
16 Augvs CD Marathon0–1L
10 Aug@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
1 Aug@ Génesis0–2L
1 May@ CD Marathon1–0W
19 Aprvs CD Olimpia1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Atlético Choloma v Real Espana3–2
15 Feb 2026Real Espana v Atlético Choloma2–1
Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

On our numbers Real Espana have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlético Choloma 15%.

How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma?

Real Espana vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.