Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
CD Motagua vs Olancho preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees CD Motagua take on Olancho on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Olancho sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Municipal 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Olancho's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with CD Olimpia 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Olancho arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Olancho 0–2 CD Motagua. Across their last 4 meetings CD Motagua have won 1, Olancho 1, with 2 draws and 1.8 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for CD Motagua and 0.9 for Olancho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 60%, draw 21%, Olancho 19%.
Safer route: CD Motagua or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua60%fair 1.68 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Olancho19%fair 5.15 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.83CD Motagua xG
0.92Olancho xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.8 – 0.9 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win CD Motagua vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Olancho 19%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–0 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs Olancho?
CD Motagua vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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