Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Génesis vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
CD Marathon travel to Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 29 August (22:00 WAT) to face Génesis. Génesis are 8th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Génesis's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Independiente 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CD Marathon's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Real Estelí 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished CD Marathon 1–2 Génesis.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Génesis and 1.2 for CD Marathon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Génesis 32%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Génesis 0–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Génesis32%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
CD Marathon45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
2.12Expected goals
0.93Génesis xG
1.18CD Marathon xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Génesis 0.9 – 1.2 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Génesis vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Génesis vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Génesis have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 45%.
How many goals will there be in Génesis vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Génesis vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Génesis 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Génesis vs CD Marathon?
Génesis vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
