Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Real Espana to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Espana to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.86
CD Marathon vs Real Espana preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees CD Marathon take on Real Espana on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. CD Marathon are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Real Espana sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CD Marathon's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Alianza 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Espana's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Atletico Independiente 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished Real Espana 1–1 CD Marathon. Across their last 2 meetings CD Marathon have won 0, Real Espana 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for CD Marathon and 1.1 for Real Espana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Marathon 38%, draw 24%, Real Espana 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Real Espana to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CD Marathon 1–1 Real Espana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Marathon38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Real Espana38%fair 2.64 · @3.00
2.12Expected goals
1.06CD Marathon xG
1.06Real Espana xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.1 – 1.1 Real Espana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Espana 38%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 Real Espana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Real Espana?
CD Marathon vs Real Espana (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Estrella Roja5